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Will the Covid-19 pandemic be controlled by the end of April?

A leading Chinese respiratory disease expert predicts that the Covid-19 pandemic could be controlled by the end of this month, but it is uncertain whether a second outbreak will occur.

“With every country taking drastic and effective measures, I believe that a pandemic can be controlled. My estimate is at the end of April”,  a leading Chinese expert group advising the Chinese government on anti-Covid-19, saying in an interview with Radio Shenzhen screen was broadcasted on April 1.

“After the end of April, no one can say for sure if there will be another virus outbreak next spring or whether it will disappear with warmer weather although the activity of this virus will definitely decrease in higher temperatures”.

Nhiều người đeo khẩu trang duy trì khoảng cách nhằm phòng ngừa dịch Covid-19 trong lúc chờ xe buýt ở thành phố Catania, Ý ngày 2.4 /// Reuters

He did not specify how to make the prediction, but other experts have made similar timelines based on the latest developments in the US and Europe, currently the epicenter of the Covid-19 pandemic, according to the South China Morning Post.

The World Health Organization (WHO) Emergency Program CEO Michael Ryan Mike Ryan this week said there were signs that the Covid-19 outbreak was stabilizing when the blockade was in place. applied last month, it will start working.

In the United States, the University of Washington’s Institute of Health Assessment and Indicator Systems predicts hospitals may face the number of Covid-19 patients peaking around April 20.

Of the nearly one million confirmed Covid-19 infections worldwide, more than 215,000 are in the United States, according to the latest data from John Hopkins University. The European Center for Disease Control and Prevention confirms there are more than 421,000 cases in the European Union and the UK.

In the interview, he also talked about the long-term consequences of Covid-19 infection. Last month, a study by the Hong Kong Hospital Administration found that some recovering Covid-19 patients experienced reduced lung function by 20-30% and some problems such as shortness of breath when walking briskly.

Chuyên gia đầu ngành Trung Quốc: Dịch Covid-19 sẽ được kiểm soát ...

However, He said that based on his observations of many Covid-19 patients caused by the new strain of Corona virus (SARS-CoV-2) and patients recovering from similar diseases, such as SARS ( Severe acute respiratory syndrome), lung damage does not tend to last and most patients recover completely in 6-12 months.

According to World Health Organization (WHO) data released in 2004, there were 8,096 people worldwide infected with SARS, including 774 deaths, mostly in mainland China and Hong Kong.

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